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  • Dow Drops 1,000 Points as Conflict Deepens

Dow Drops 1,000 Points as Conflict Deepens

Continued Middle East strikes fuel further market declines and commodity gains, with focus shifting to yield pressures and corporate credit conditions.

Brian Tancock
Brian Tancock

Mar 6, 2026

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3 min read

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U.S. equities extended losses on March 4 as the Iran conflict reached its fifth day, with retaliatory attacks on U.S. assets and broader regional involvement. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.1% or 1,010 points to 47,075, the S&P 500 dropped 2.0% to 6,653, and the Nasdaq declined 2.2% to 21,950. European markets remained under pressure, with the FTSE 100 down 3.2% and the DAX off 3.8%. Asian indices weakened further, with the Nikkei 225 falling 3.4% and the ASX 200 down 1.2%.

Equity Markets

Sector declines accelerated: technology shed 2.5% amid global uncertainty, energy rose 3.8% on sustained crude strength, but financials and industrials each lost over 2.3%. Small-caps lagged large caps by 0.8%. The VIX climbed another 9.2% to 26.47, indicating persistent short-term risks. Early March moves have amplified February's mixed close, with the S&P 500 now tracking a 2.8% monthly drop.

Fixed Income

Yields continued upward amid war-related inflation fears. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 10 basis points to 4.13%, with two-year yields up 7 basis points to 3.92%. The yield curve steepened to 21 basis points.

Corporate spreads expanded 6 basis points to 103 over Treasuries, as credit markets absorbed higher risk premiums.

Currency Markets

Safe-haven flows supported the dollar. The U.S. dollar index advanced 0.9% to 99.44. USD/JPY rose 0.7% to 158.85, USD/CHF gained 0.6% to 0.7731. EUR/USD decreased 0.9% to 1.1496, with emerging currencies down 0.5% versus the dollar.

Commodities

Supply disruptions pushed commodities higher. Brent crude added 7.9% to 91.00 per barrel, WTI increased 9.2% to 83.85. Gold dipped 0.8% to 5,169 per ounce, silver fell 1.2% to 82.19. Natural gas prices gained 4.5% to 3.28 per MMBtu. Platinum dropped another 4.2% to 1,995 per ounce.

Macro Backdrop

No major U.S. data releases, but ongoing conflict overshadowed February's ISM PMI of 52.4 and S&P Global reading of 51.6. European PMIs showed contraction, with the eurozone at 48.2. Geopolitical tensions built on January's commodity surges, with energy up another 12% month-to-date. Bitcoin fell 2.1% to 66,040.

Entering Today's Open

Key reference levels:

  • S&P 500: 6,653

  • Dow: 47,075

  • 10-year Treasury yield: 4.13%

  • DXY: 99.44

  • VIX: 26.47

  • Gold: 5,169

  • Brent crude: 91.00

Markets open with ongoing energy gains, elevated yields, high volatility, and equity futures indicating continued softness.

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