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  • CPI Cooled. Stocks Snapped Back.

CPI Cooled. Stocks Snapped Back.

Markets enter Wednesday with lower rate pressure, stronger AI stocks, bank earnings momentum, and oil still elevated.

Brian Tancock
Brian Tancock

Jul 15, 2026

•

4 min read

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U.S. markets enter Wednesday, July 15, 2026, with conditions set by the Tuesday, July 14 close.

Stocks recovered after Monday’s inflation scare. Inflation data eased pressure on rates. Banks delivered strong earnings. Technology rebounded. Semiconductors recovered. The Nasdaq led. The S&P 500 moved higher. The Dow finished nearly flat. Small caps improved. Oil remained elevated. Treasury yields eased. The dollar weakened. Gold moved higher.

The S&P 500 closed at 7,543.59.
The Nasdaq closed at 26,107.01.
The Dow closed at 52,508.27.
The Russell 2000 closed at 2,964.76.

The surface strengthened. The internal structure improved as investors responded to softer inflation data and renewed technology demand, but energy risk remained a key market pressure point.

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Equity Markets

Tuesday’s session showed gains across the major indexes.

The Nasdaq rose +0.9%.
The Russell 2000 gained +0.4%.
The S&P 500 rose +0.4%.
The Dow gained less than 0.1%.

That ranked the major indexes from strongest to weakest as: Nasdaq, Russell 2000, S&P 500, Dow.

The Nasdaq gained 233.83 points.
The S&P 500 gained 28.25 points.
The Russell 2000 gained 11.60 points.
The Dow gained 9.63 points.

The strongest signal came from technology. The Nasdaq recovered after Monday’s AI-driven selloff. Semiconductors rebounded as investors reassessed recent concerns around AI valuations and chip demand. The recovery showed that buyers remained willing to step back into the strongest growth areas after sharp declines. The S&P 500 recovered above 7,500. The move came after inflation data reduced pressure on the rate outlook.

The Dow lagged. It gained only 9.63 points as investors balanced strong bank earnings against ongoing energy and geopolitical risks. Financial stocks received support from strong quarterly results. Major banks reported strong earnings, helping offset weakness in some areas of the market. Small caps improved.

The Russell 2000 gained 11.60 points but remained below 3,000. That continued to show a market where large-cap technology remains the primary leadership group.

For the week, the major indexes remain mixed.
The Nasdaq is down about 0.7%.
The S&P 500 is slightly lower.
The Dow is down slightly.
The Russell 2000 remains under pressure.

For the year, the Russell 2000 remains the strongest major index.
The Russell 2000 is up 19.5%.
The Nasdaq is up 12.3%.
The S&P 500 is up 10.2%.
The Dow is up 9.2%.

Fixed Income

Treasury yields eased after the inflation report.

The 2-year yield moved near 4.10%.
The 10-year yield moved near 4.55%.
The 30-year yield moved near 5.00%.

The bond market responded to softer inflation data.

The June Consumer Price Index rose 3.5% year over year.
That was below the prior 4.2% reading and reduced some pressure on Federal Reserve policy expectations.
Monthly CPI declined 0.4%.

The softer inflation data helped Treasury markets.

The 10-year yield moved lower as investors reduced some expectations for additional tightening.
The 2-year yield also eased. That reflected lower immediate pressure on the Federal Reserve. However, long-term yields remained elevated.
The 30-year yield stayed near 5%, showing that inflation concerns were not fully removed.

Currency Markets

The dollar weakened after softer inflation data. The U.S. Dollar Index moved lower. The yen stabilized near recent lows. The euro strengthened against the dollar. The weaker dollar reflected reduced expectations for additional rate pressure. That supported commodities and international assets.

Currency markets remain focused on two competing forces. Lower inflation supports a softer dollar. Higher oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty continue supporting defensive demand. The dollar backdrop improved, but remained sensitive to future inflation data.

Commodities

Commodity markets remained focused on oil and gold.

WTI crude traded near $80.
Brent crude moved above $80.
Spot gold traded near $4,051.79.

Gold futures remained elevated. Oil continued higher as U.S.-Iran tensions remained unresolved. Energy markets remained focused on the Strait of Hormuz and potential supply disruptions. That kept inflation concerns alive despite the softer CPI report. Gold moved higher. Spot gold rose about 1.3%. The move reflected lower yields and a weaker dollar. The commodity backdrop remains divided. Gold is benefiting from softer rates. Oil is keeping inflation pressure alive.

Macro Backdrop

The Wednesday setup is defined by a market balancing two opposing forces. The inflation data improved. The equity market responded positively. Technology recovered. Banks strengthened. Yields eased. But oil remained the major uncertainty. Higher energy prices continue to create inflation risk even as headline inflation improves. The market is now watching whether lower inflation can outweigh higher geopolitical pressure. Investors are also shifting focus toward earnings season. Strong bank results helped Tuesday’s rebound.

The next question is whether technology companies can deliver results strong enough to justify elevated AI expectations. The market remains resilient. But the setup is still dependent on three major forces: Inflation. Oil. AI earnings. Markets enter Wednesday with better equity momentum, softer rate pressure, and continued energy risk.

Entering Today's Open

Key reference levels:

  • S&P 500: 7,543.59

  • Dow Jones: 52,508.27

  • Nasdaq: 26,107.01

  • Russell 2000: 2,964.76

  • 10-Year Yield: near 4.55%

  • 2-Year Yield: near 4.10%

  • 30-Year Yield: near 5.00%

  • U.S. Dollar Index: near 100

  • WTI Crude: near $80

  • Brent Crude: above $80

  • Spot Gold: near $4,051.79

  • Gold Futures: near $4,050

Markets enter Wednesday after a strong Tuesday rebound. The Nasdaq led. The S&P 500 recovered. The Dow was flat. Small caps improved. Semiconductors bounced. Inflation cooled. Treasury yields eased. The dollar weakened. Oil remained elevated. Gold strengthened.

The key takeaway: Tuesday’s close showed that softer inflation can quickly change market direction, but the recovery remains balanced against energy risk. Stocks rebounded, rates eased, and AI leadership returned, while oil continues to determine how much room markets have to move higher.

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