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Aug 27, 2026

by Brian Tancock

September Hike Odds Hit 36% Before Jackson Hole.

Nvidia guided to $108 billion and futures moved overnight.

Aug 26, 2026

by Brian Tancock

Oil Gave Back 9% In a Month, And the 10-year Noticed.

The bond market moved first. The stock market barely moved at all.

Aug 25, 2026

by Brian Tancock

The 30-year Sits 10 Basis Points Under a 19-year High.

Semis dropped 2.7% even with yields falling, two days before Nvidia.

Aug 24, 2026

by Brian Tancock

The 30-year Ended Higher Than It Started. That's the Story.

US business activity just hit a 52-month high. That makes the long end harder, not easier.

Aug 21, 2026

by Brian Tancock

The Buyback Lasted One Session.

The Dow's 704-point drop was its worst since July 29.

Aug 20, 2026

by Brian Tancock

Washington Intervened At the Long End.

Walmart reports before the open, with claims and Philly Fed at 8:30.

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